Watch out Your Member of Parliament Maybe a Person of Interest.

This is an updated verion of an article originally published by Tom Koltai at 01:54PM (EST) on October 6, 2009

Man is a competitive member of the animal kingdom.

Our nature is to compete with one another for food, shelter, mates and attention. Attention? Well yes, the more attention you get the better your prospects of :

Obtaining a mate and earning money.

So Koltai, the attention seekers are the most likely candidates for Presidential election?

Well think about it. Imagine being a 17 year old pimply faced boy.

How often would he get laid? (Whatever your answer, the 17 year old would say – “Not enough”…..)

Now imagine if the pimply faced boy were President of the USA?

How often would the President of the USA get laid? OK – I’ll say “could” for the benefit of the female married audience.

So Koltai you blog because you want attention and want to get laid?

No, I don’t want attention for moi, I want attention drawn to the plight of the world that all seems to stem from four main issues. (As for the other – I’m starting to get a bit long in the tooth for that.)

Problem with the World ISSUE #1

Commercial interests have turned amoral. They are unable to distinguish the difference between making a profit and killing large chunks of the world population [through “designer” pigs, corn et al, that are unable to reproduce,] by controlling their products through international trade agreements like ACTA.

So ACTA is an excuse for Genocide.

Yes. But unfortunately it’s been prettied up to be about Internet file-sharing.

Problem with the World ISSUE #2

The Federal Reserve Bank of the USA has devised a securitization methodology of building an economy based on future Debt.

Other Governments have followed the lead of the Federal Reserve as being an ideal model to create an economy around that benefits those at the top.

It would appear to benefit all mankind, being able to live in a nice house, being able to drive a late model car and having a 50” LCD cinema in the lounge room.

But unfortunately, all of these “trimmings” are essentially a result of consumer programming.

You are successful if you drive a Mercedes.

You can only be successful if you take holidays first class.

You must wear Armani to be considered for the top job, top earning boyfriend etc etc.

The majority of the world can’t afford Armani. But armed with a credit card, they forget this.

Most of us don’t drive Mercedes cars… or live in Belair Cote de Zur or Double Bay.

But Koltai isn’t it fair to reward the achievers?

Yes I think it is.

But not by creating funny money that then bites the entire world in it’s arse.

Problem with the World, ISSUE #3

Lying to the population.

Advertising has always about getting the public to buy something that commercial interests need you to buy so they can buy their new house on the cote d’azur.

They are not really objects without which man couldn’t survive.

This brings us to the great equalizer. The Internet.

The Internet has enabled the world – i.e. those that are not living in Double Bay, Cote d’azur or Beverley Hills to talk about the unfairness of certain policies deemed by the population to be unfair, unjust or lacking in moral fibre.

(No, no examples – go and read some blogs.)

Problem with the World ISSUE #4

Expressing Dissatisfaction with any element of officialdom on the Blog-sphere, Twitter and Facebook.

Those that speak of any of these topics out loud are branded “insurgent, trouble maker, activist, investigative journalist, commie, revolutionary”.

In other words, the official documentation of the worlds law enforcement officials are sending free speech underground, forcing people to hide their commentaries behind pseudonym user names like the now renowned/infamous Anonymous.

The recent Wikileaks leak of the UK Government secret internal document on how to manage leaks made me realise that the Governments of the world don’t really want free speech. They preach it, but then instruct their minions to stamp it out. To place those who practice it on watch lists as “enemies of the state”.

From Wikileaks: "2389 classified pages on how the UK stop leaks"

This significant, previously unpublished document (classified "RESTRICTED", 2389 pages), is the UK military protocol for security operations, including counter-intelligence.

The document includes instructions on dealing with leaks, investigative journalists, Parliamentarians, foreign agents, terrorists & criminals, sexual entrapments in Russia and China, diplomatic pouches, allies, classified documents & codewords, compromising radio and audio emissions, computer hackers.and many other related issues.

The document, known in the services as the "JSP 440" ("Joint Services Protocol 440"), was referenced by the RAF Digby investigation team as the protocol justification for the monitoring Wikileaks, as mentioned in "UK Ministry of Defence continually monitors WikiLeaks: eight reports into classified UK leaks, 29 Sep 2009".

Example excerpts (WikiLeaks, [see http://bit.ly/CgxBY], "D Def Sy" means Directorate of Defence Security):

"Non-traditional threats

The main threats of this type are posed by investigative journalists, pressure groups, investigation agencies, criminal elements, disaffected staff, dishonest staff and computer hackers. The types of threat from these sources can be categorized in six broad groups: a. Confidentiality. Compromise of politically sensitive information. This threat is presented by: (1) Pressure groups and investigative journalists attempting to obtain sensitive information. (2) Unauthorized disclosure of official in formation (leaks)..."

"Investigative journalists have exploited personal tax information; they also target commercial and financial information as do criminal elements seeking financial advantage. "

Continues....... At http://tinyurl.com/wlmod

As the reader can see, the document attempts to smear investigative journalists and members of the public by associating them in the same sentences as foreign agents, terrorists & criminals, sexual entrapments and; GASP…. Parliamentarians those most despicable of people – our elected representatives and their staffers.

I always thought that when the Military attacked the Head of State that was termed Revolution; however it would seem that in the UK it’s just normal business.

I would say this is the biggest problem in the world.

Although in Australia we seem to be inventing our own version of of unattainable orwellian control devices...
Problem with the World ISSUE #5

Inteligent men whom unfortunately don't understand the Internet, thinking they can halt the digital tide and implent outmoded concepts of "content classification"  (like Australia's proposed rabbit proof Internet filter).

Rabbit proof ?

Koltai joke. It has as much chance of keeping back the hoards of rabbits as the internet filter has of keeping back just .0001% of the words unsavoury websites.

So why are the Australian politicians introducing a filter?

To satisfy the 20,000 christian lobyists who voted 93% in favour of it.

Koltai, you said "problem for the world", but that filter is only for Australia.

So it is. So tell me that you don't think that other countries will look at the level headed, friendly Aussies and calculate that the benefit to them of implementing a filter also? Politcally, a filter in Australia is a perfect "first step" in implementing a 1984 world globally.
As I have suggesteed before, Politicians and magicians have a lot in common; "Ladies and Gentlemen, boys and grls, now watch this hand waving in the air....... " and then implementing an unexpected magic trick (with the other hand) that either gets them applause/re-election, or not.

So what are we left with ?

A world where persons expressing themselves can automatically land themselves on “terrorist suspect lists” just for speaking their mind.

Didn’t we pass some laws a while back allowing freedom of speech?

Oh, not in the UK.

Oh, and not in Australia.

I guess it’s probably too late for me to start blogging as “anonymous”.

I blog under my own name because I think the world would be a far better place if more people stood up to be counted.

Digital Publishing versus Paper Rock Scissors

This is an update version of an article I first published under the title "Slow Revolutions are better than overnight Coups".
by Tom Koltai at 11:52AM (EST) on February 26, 2010

In 1993, I wrote a paper entitled, How Ubiquitous Free Communication will Alter the Status Quo.

I noted that ;

• because of electronic chat rooms [Prodigy, AOL and Compuserve], as more women became enamoured of the connectivity options available to them via a ubiquitous global network, that the divorce rate would rise dramatically.
• small companies that were fast out of the blocks in adopting the technology would eat into and decrement larger companies profits.
• that increasing cheap communication options would increase global commerce dramatically.
• people would form online communities with like minded people.;

What I failed to note or foresee was, that;

Companies like Ebay and Amazon that would so totally decimate the bricks and mortar business models.
I missed the meteoric growth in parcel post and courier delivery services,  
I failed to foresee that the majority of E-commerce roads lead to the USA and consequently that all money flows were via the USA (advertising, product sales – PayPal settlements were in US Dollars)

I didnt think that connected PC’s and search engines would decimate the media barons of yesterday and replace the 7:00 pm News.
I failed to foretell cameras in phones,
or that Governments would rather give money to failing corporate business models rather than encourage and fund new business models.

All in all I give my 1993 paper a C. I missed the most important predictions.

The new digital Ecosystem comprising mainly:

Goggle              Now answers more searches globally on more topics daily than the number of pages of all of the books in all of the libraries of the world.

eBay                Collects commissions on more daily sales than any other sales organisation in the world.

Paypal.             Now processes more transactions daily than any other single banking organisation in the world.

Youtube            Now offers 20 hours per minute of newly uploaded video content. (The content industry creates only approximately 7 minutes of content every minute – that includes Television, films. music videos, documentaries and  News/Current affair programs).

Facebook          Now has more words in the daily updates than all of the words of all the worlds daily newspapers.



Google to research the desired item of purchase, Amazon to buy books, videos electonic gadgets and entertainment, Paypal to pay for them, Youtube to learn how to use the item, Facebook to show and tell ones friends about the newly acquired gadget,   Ebay to sell them once we are sick of them, and again Paypal to receive payment for them.

All of these companies have become dominant in their own right.
Did any of them ask for or receive any Government funding to get where they are?
Nope. Not that I'm aware of.

Are they changing the way the world does business? Most assuredly.



Yet they are successful not because of Government hand-outs but because they provide what is needed by the consumers.

The estimated number of jobs created by these new digital giants including the support industries that both live off and feed the new denizens of the net, already outnumber all of the employees of all of the newspaper and magazine publishers/printers, TV and radio stations globally.

The biggest boon of this new digital economy is the oportnity for mums at home. eBay allows a suprising number to buy, sell and trade at a small modest profit, boosting the family finances whilst simultaneously killing the bricks and mortar one dollar shops. It's a fascinating destructive cycle that only needs a modicum of industrialisation added to it to revitalise the economy.



These companies all started in bedrooms or garages. They grew and were successful because of vision, determination, usefulness and appropriate funding at the right time.

In garages all over Australia, inventors are inventing, hamstrung by lack of funds, and totally unaware of how they can obtain those funds.

For an invention to become successful there has to be a series of propitious events that occur at the right time, in sequence.

Unfortunately, only a very small percentage of the inventions are ever funded correctly, marketed correctly and supported correctly.

Also unfortunately, many don’t “Grok” the usefulness of the invention.

A Hypothetical.
A number of years  ago, (1987) a gentlemen in Melbourne was featured in that wonderful (no longer published) Australia Post magazine, with his Hydrogen reactor powered Ford Falcon 500.

The article explained that although it was in fact a Hydrogen Reactor it was quite safe.

How does one sell that concept to an RTA Clerk to obtain road-worthiness registration for the vehicle.

Power Plant : Hydrogen Reactor.
Cylinders:  6
Manufacturer:  Homemade

Automatically the application would be declined.

Therefore, the gentleman, had the choice of lying about the engine, or driving an unregistered vehicle.

Had Steve received funding, then Australians today would be paying pennies for the fuel as opposed to dollars. Unfortunately, Steve came up against the wall of self interest.

The Self Interest of Politicians and Lobbyists that required Petro dollars to remain in office or to earn a living.
Politicians unfortunately generally can’t see beyond the next election.
If Steve had lobbied the Government with a five thousand dollar per day lobbyist by saying:

If everyone drives on Hydrogen then:

• Australia could export all of it’s oil to other nations.
• Australians would have zero emissions from their vehicles.
• The budget would be positive every year, because, 
• Australians wouldn’t have to spend 11% of their pay cheques every week to pay for fuel.
• Deliveries would be cheaper therefore our lifestyle values would increase with more money going into the economy for locally made products.
• The local vehicle industry would sell more Australian made autos (after all the rest of the world is driving on hydrocarbons).
• Australia would become the leading economically successful nation on earth.

 But Steve didn’t lobby government and we are still driving smoke belching hydrocarbon burning vehicles; we still pay through the nose for the precious black gold and are suffering as a nation because of the stranglehold of fuel oil on the economy.

..and of course our politicians are in trouble with their failture to meet the CO2 reduction requyirements.

So Steve’s invention fizzled, yet the self serving interests were served. All this because Canberra didn't recognise the potential of Steve's Hydrogen car.

Although I should interject here, that it was more than likely that some  scaremongering went on the time to ensure that Politicians were scared oof Steve's Hydrogen powered marvel.

This is the choice that entrepreneurs and internauts face each and every day.

If the Government doesn't understand what you are doing, then you are probably breaking the law if you keep doing it.Then again, had Steve (the Hungarian guy in Melbourne with the mobile Hydrogen reactor) not told anyone, then no-one would know, but then he couldn't have raised any money for his invention.

For readers peace of mind, I should explain that it is possible to construct a Hydrogen reactor in your kitchen using caustic soda as the catalyst (to split H2 from 0).

For every invention that sees the light of day, thousands get forgotten.

As more people become connected it will be both easier and simultaneously harder to :
Create a meme,
That creates the brand

Although there are still opportunities e.g.: Twitter.

If you had told me five years ago that fifty percent of the online world would be tweeting their life stories via twitter daily, I would have laughed at you.

But this is where peer pressure assists the meme.
If all your friends are on Twitter, then to be part of the crowd, you also have to be on Twitter because otherwise, you can’t follow what they are saying.

But the real problem?

The self serving interests of companies that can afford to hire lobbyists to convince Government to grease the wheels of commerce in their favour and genrally against the long term interests of the citizens and the conomy.

Had the Broadcasting companies utilized the services of a Psychic and discovered what we all now know about Google, Youtube and to a lesser extent about Paypal, I am sure that none of those companies would exist today, having been legislated out of existence before they made good.

It would appear that to hold a successful revolution, it must be:
Public – under the nose of the persons that the invention disrupts.

Discrete – It should sneak up gradually, not suddenly appear on the radar.
Useful – The product must appeal unilaterally to a specific demographic
Unique – The invention should have a unique aspect that is not replicated elsewhere.
Rock & Roll – To become a meme, it must apply to a young demographic. (They – the young demographic will ensure that Grandma and Grandpa follow.)

Examples of Successful Revolutions.
Newspapers are now virtually unread in their paper forms (but in the last ten years we have gone from .6 of a PC per Australian to 1.6., Telecommunicaitons has grown exponentially 14.7% CAGR (in Australia, VOIP has almost displaced almost all commercial voice traffic on the analogue copper network (Telstra local and std call fees). Bricks and Mortar Video stores and Record shops closing but digital sales are rocketing.....
The Soviet Government was essentially toppled from inside by the wide adoption of personal computers facilitating non-censored traffic between individuals.

If you are an inventor, good luck with your Revolution, because, that is what a successful product roll-out requires. A revolution in thinking, a revolution in marketing and a revolution in selling the concept to the funders.

Oh yeah, it needs one more thing. It needs your local politician to understnad that you are the next Bill Gates...... make sure he knows that if he doesnt support your business plan, Australia will loose billions inthe future.

The Estimated cost of Australia not adopting Steve's Hydrogen car in the eighties? Approximately 4.54 trillion dollars. But that's a tale for another day.

The Cultural Lure of P2P

Originally published by Tom Koltai at 10:19AM (EST) on February 13, 2009 

Or “No sir, we cant sell you the movie – It’s no longer in Production.”

I was born in 1958 in New Zealand to Hungarian Refugee Parents.
My first English word was not uttered until in 1963, six weeks before my fifth birthday, I was forced to attend St. Benedicts School in Khandallah, Wellington, where my crying mother placed me into the hands of Mother Lucille, a penguin.

Yes of course we went to the shops and church, and we had a radio set, that regularly made announcements in English, so although I had heard English, there was no real need for me to learn or speak it until I realised that no matter how hard I tried to make her understand, Mother Lucille – couldn’t or didn’t want to learn Hungarian.

So I learnt English. This strange language where everything was in reverse, and ugly in its brevity of expression. In Hungarian, every request is flowery with praise for the addressee, the description of the request, the benefit to the requestee of granting the request and the long litany of the many religious blessings that would no doubt fall on the head of the grantee.
In English it was “Give me the pencil”. Well, if you were polite and not just learning English, you might add a please at the beginning or end to ensure that you didn’t wind up in a punch up.
But I didn’t quite Grok “please”. So I decided to omit its use entirely, which of course meant that I became quite proficient with my fists – rapidly.
And Mother Lucille and I learnt to talk in English. Well at least, there was eventually an occasion where I talked and she nodded understanding.

Growing up in a “wog” household teaches the children of immigrant parents an unusual lesson not available to children in English speaking countries born of local English speaking parents.
And that is – your parents are fallible. Their English sucks. You always have to correct them.

So I grew up and learnt the mantle of authority by being an English tutor to my father and mother.

And in return, my parents tried hard to instill into me the historical culture that came with being a Hungarian. I listened to Hungarian classical music, Hungarian folk tunes, Hungarian Gypsy music and Hungarian cabaret (stand up comedy). Hell I received so much culture at home that I didn’t
even know there was such a thing as “pop” music until I was twelve and brought my first transistor radio.

When I turned 17, I escaped from home to attend advanced education and ended up in Australia and from there eventually in Hungary, the land of my ancestors.

I was like a little kid in a candy factory. I had relations, cousins, aunts, grandmothers, great grandmothers, grand aunts, great grand aunts and more cousins and unlike Mother Lucille, they all spoke Hungarian.

And I started buying culture. Cassette tapes, VHS tapes, Books. I hoarded this treasure and on my regular semester break trips home (to Oz), paid enormous sums for extra baggage.

Unfortunately I have discovered that Cassette tapes and VHS tapes have a maximum shelf life.
Especially if you live in the tropics. My experience is that cassette tapes turn gummy after three wet seasons and 2 dry seasons. Quicker if you leave them in the car whilst it is parked in the sun.
VHS tapes turn similarly “sticky” after about twelve years if stored in a dark cabinet, occasionally air conditioned.

So here I am, living in Sydney with a collection of gummed up music cassettes, records for which I no longer have the “humungous” stereo system and VHS tapes that keep winding around the spindle of the player and jamming.
The obvious option is to jump onto Amazon and buy copies. – Nope – Titles not available.
eBay – nope – titles not available. This shouldn’t be that hard. Some of these movies are less than twenty years old. One of them is only ten years old. Why cant I find them ?

Because they no longer exist. They have moved so far into Deep catalogue that the Hungarian Production Houses cant be bothered to re-issue them for the small Hungarian Population that might want to buy them.

In the Western World both Sony Corporation and Philips realised this problem a few years ago and started a Disk on Demand service for their deep catalogue items. Both firms have since cancelled their service due to costs.

Who has created a collection of these Historical Hungarian Movies for preservation? No-one.
Who has made these historical movies available for viewing by the public? No-one.

So what option do I have to recover my lost content ?
According to the Law. None.

Curiously, on the P2P networks, almost every single one of my Hungarian movies and music collections are available. Donated by kind souls who, with foresight digitized their aging VHS tapes before it was too late.

The law hasn’t been tested on this topic anywhere in the world.
I wonder if I should just download them using P2P and ensure their safety.

My dilemma is a moral one. I have no issue with the movies that I purchased in the eighties. As far as I am concerned, I am replacing a faulty sub-standard  manufactured product with a digital version. (There was no warning on the label that if you lived in the Tropics the tapes would turn sticky.)

My problem is with all the new titles available. WOW. I could sit here downloading till the cows came home and totally sate my cultural needs for a considerable time.

How can I pay for these new titles? In fact some of the companies that made some of these titles are no longer in existence. Oh I’m sure that someone owns the copyright, but how can I find out who? Oh, they’re in Hungary. Oh, it’s a lawyers office. Nope, they’re not interested in selling me a legitimate copy. There aren’t any. The film is no longer in production. Could I send them a cheque if I can get a copy elsewhere? No – they don’t have any system for accepting a cheque.

In other words, they don’t want my money - this then produces a dilemma for the Copyright Industries.

Copyright was designed to protect the commercial interests of the inventor/artists.

Is there now an argument that if the copyright owner is no longer interested in selling the content, then he can no longer be afforded the protection of the copyright law ?

If you enjoyed this article, Tom Koltai Blogs at http://kovtr.com/wordpress/
He can followed on Twitter at http://twitter.com/tomkoltai

Keywords:  copyright precedent, immigrants, Hungarian, Grok, ancestors, video, VHS, TV, trend, technology, Radio, music, Meme, Home Theatre, eBay, copyright, Amazon

Statistical Anomalies in Reports Originating in the EU

by Tom Koltai on March 29, 2010 08:26PM (EST)

Introduction
Over the last several months a number of reports have been published on the impact of file sharing of popular music on Europe's macro economy.

The purpose of this paper is to identify a number of arguments that have been made that are provably false or present data that is contrary to other so-called factual data that is diametrically opposed the data in these reports.

The question is what the rationale might be for publishing reports that can be so easily disproven. While we can only surmise what is behind this, we have a very deep concern with the concept of publishing and promoting information that could possibly be treated as fact and which could then be used to argue changes in legislation governing various rights that ordinary citizens may have, particularly with respect to their ability to have an ongoing internet connection.

The fundamental problem with reports of this kind is that they create an environment where logical arguments are made based on false hypotheses. And as any good student of logic understands, if you start with a false hypothesis it is impossible to reach a provably true conclusion.

The pursuit of changes to legislation based on false hypotheses, if successful, would almost certainly lead to random unforseeable events and trends taking place that are totally contrary to the philosophical development of the human race and would overturn hundreds of years of enlightenment thinking.

For this reason we believe that the analysis of these recent reports should be carefully considered by readers interested in the legal structures that govern both content and communications as they pertain to citizens.

Unfortunately, the details of our response to these various reports now contain many pages [188] of dry, boring statistical data and there is unfortunately no real way to proffer a rebuttal suitable to present in a Blog format that would;

a)       Be of interest to the great majority of Perceptric readers.
b)       Be presented in a continuous format suitable for cross-referencing and comprehension.
c)       Be taken seriously by anyone in either Government or Ministerial advisory roles.

Therefore  over the next few days, highlights (the more interesting bits) of our research will be published as a series of articles here on Perceptric, and when complete, the entire report  will be tendered (in a more formal fashion) for consideration and comment by academics amongst the global community.

Report Number 1.

Building a Digital Economy : The Importance of Saving Jobs in the EU’s Creative Industries

The study focuses on three questions :

1) What is the contribution of the creative industries to the European economy in terms of GDP and jobs ?
2) What are the consequences of piracy on retail revenue and jobs ?
3) If current policies do not change in the EU, what will these losses be by 2015 ?

We urge readers to read this report in its entirety, so that the highlights of our research in answer to many of these reports findings will have relevance.

MUSIC PIRATES IN CANADA….(1897)

by Tom Koltai at 05:01PM (EST) on March 14, 2010

Dug out from the archives of the New York Times….. June 13, 1897 NYTimes

American Publishers say they are Suffering by Copyright Violations

There-Steps Taken for Redress.

“Canadian pirates” is what the music
dealers call publishing houses across the
line who are flooding this country, they say,
with spurious editions of the latest copyrighted
popular songs. They use the mails
to reach purchasers, so members of the
American Music Publishers' Association as-
sert, and as a result the legitimate music
publishing business of the United States
has fallen off 50 per cent, in the past twelve
months. Their investigation has revealed
that all of the most popular pieces have
been counterfeited, despite the fact that
they are copyrighted, and by unknown publishers
are sold at from 2 cents to 5 cents
per copy. though the original compositions
sell at from 20 to 40 cents per copy.
It is estimated by the publishers that fully
5,000,000 copies of songs were printed and
Bold in the month of May.

T. B. Harms, the music publisher, said
yesterday that the American publishers
had held a conference lasting three days
last week, and a committee had been appointed
to fight the pirates. This committee
consists of Isidore Witmark, T. B. Harms, and
H. W. Gray.

It was explained that the business is
worked in Canada in connection with newspapers
which publish lists of music to be
sold at, say, 10 cents a copy. The Post
Office box given belongs to the newspaper,
and it takes half of all the money sent as
pay for the advertising, and the other half
goes to the “pirate,” who sends the music
by mail.
If the Post Office authorities stop such
mail matter because it infringes the copyright
law, it is returned to the publisher,
after thirty days, under our law, and the
only one who is out is the person who
sends the 10 cents. The Canadian law is
less lenient, as it provides for the destruction
of contraband matter sent over the line
by American violators of copyright law.

So it would appear that in1897, the pirates were in league with the Newspaper publishers, the only people that had printing presses.

It would appear that the crime of Music Piracy in 1887 was facilitated by Technology. Curiously it was todays Media Barons ancestors that facilitated the piracy by providing the technology...

"Have technology, will pirate...."

Not much has changed then.
Hattip: http://www.homepagedaily.com/Pages/article7146-music-piracy-in-1897---from-lucas-jensen.aspx

References:

"Music Pirates in Canada" (NYTimes PDF file)

Keywords:  canadian pirates, AMPA, P2P, Newspaper Barons assist Music Pirates

Imagine downloading 85 movies a minute.

by Tom Koltai at 09:48AM (EST) on February 12, 2010

Can’t be done say the experts.

Well what if a company was going to build out a 1 GB  per second internet backbone that would allow you to do so?

Google yesterday announced their intention to do just that. On their Blog at Think big with a gig: Our experimental fiber network

http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2010/02/think-big-with-gig-our-experimental.html

they have extolled the virtues of fast network capabilities as assisting radiographers and home users to receive high resolution 3D images via fibre to the premises.

Initially the network is slated to only be provided to 50,000 to 500,000 Americans but Google are asking for communities of interested persons to contact them for consideration to being included in the first initial “test” rollouts.

There the fantasy ends for me, I live in Australia, the land of slow Internet.
Slow ?

Well, yes, for years Telstra have created an artificial bottleneck with their FDDI rings surrounding each DSLAM at the telephone exchanges.

This bottleneck was initially designed to add lag into the VOIP network so that they wouldn’t loose too much money from their voice operations.

Thankfully, Telstra have now learnt that there is more money in Data than there is in telephones.
However they have learnt it fifteen years too late.

In a paper I wrote in 1996, I stated that Telstra Data income from international destinations was already exceeding their facsimile revenues and that VOIP would overtake traditional voice by 2000.

I was wrong about VOIP. Because Telstra built a special feature into their networks.

I call it the FUVNF, (sorry, you will have to decipher the acronym without my assistance – this is a family orientated publication).

Essentially, every time a packet is switched somewhere it requires an extra  34 milliseconds for the switching to occur.

VOIP becomes unusable at greater than 350-500 msec delay. Therefore to create a network on which VOIP cant be used, one just circulates the packets amongst a few switches before allowing it to go on it’s merry way.

Historical Flashback – 1997.
Here’s an explanation of Telstra’s actions and pricing model I wrote in June 1997.

In July 1996, Telstra increased the cost of Wholesale Internet from $0.02 cents per megabyte to $0.195 cents per megabyte. This increase was claimed by Telstra to be necessary to cover the cost of the trans Pacific data link.
At the same time, Telstra announced that it was upgrading the Internet Network to “streamline” data flow. This streamlining was the construction of several core networks with a triumvirate egress network.  Each switch (router) adds several milliseconds (approx 34 ms) to the length of time required for a packet to transit from A to E. In the diagram below, a packet traveling from A to E takes a minimum of 68 milliseconds whereas a packet traveling from A via B, C, D to get to E takes a minimum of 170 milliseconds.




For Example; a three minute call to the USA
Telstra prime rate IDD (International Direct Dial) charges are $1.28 per minute to the USA
The Telstra network is provisioned at 64 Kb bandwidth Therefore a 3 minute call to the USA would utilise 11.5 Megabits. The actual calculation of the cost of each kilobyte would be calculated in the following manner:     
60 seconds x 64 Kb x 3 / 1.28 = Data charges
11,520 Kb divided into $3.84  =  $ 0.00033 per kilobyte.
(At off peak, this would cost $2.73 or $0.00023 per kilobyte.)

Telstra Internet Charging Model $0.195 per Megabyte.
Therefore, a 64 Kb conversation conducted via Internet Phone (Iphone*) used to cost at anytime, 11,520 Kilobits (11.5 Megabits) @ $19.5 per Mb = $ 2.24 or $0.003 per packet.

 
Back to the current Future……
So what will a world where a Gigabyte a second is normal, look like?

I can’t even hazard a guess.  However the old Telstra model of building additional switching into a network to slow down the traffic will no longer work.


The Conclusion
Man lives for an average of seventy-five years (or thereabouts).
Most of us don’t actually start watching the tube until we are two or three years old.
So if we say that we spend three hours per day, every day of our lives watching ninety minute feature films, then we will be able to watch 54,750 movies and it will only take 21.72619 hours to download the whole lot.

If the content industry think they have a problem now with content, what will there future look like when citizens can download their entire lifetimes entertainment requirements in less than a day.

Let’s hope they find a solution to their P2P problems soon, just to ensure that they keep on making movies.

Postcript:
At OGN we fixed the "Telstra" problem by tunnelling direct links to ISP's (to carry VOIP traffic) via the AUIX a nationawide NAP. But that's a story for another day.

*Iphone was a VOIP software maker in the mid nineties and had nothing to do with the Apple iPhone.

Imagine if

Originally posted by Tom Koltai at 05:53PM (EST) on April 30, 2009

Wouldn’t it be interesting if the current push for a global world government actually went to the country with the most votes.

As an economist, I am enamoured of the concept of a united world central government overseeing that all people of the world are treated with respect, equally, fairly and without favour.

Unfortunately, if it were based on a fair and democratic voting process it would probably never come to pass – Why? – Because obviously the outcome would result in a socialist existence.

Because obviously the first action of the global Government, would be to make all decisions public referendums.

And the next action would be to outlaw paid lobbyist access to the members.

Every decision would be made by the public with a 24 hour per day rolling poll.

Think about it – it would be extremely cheap to run.
There would be just one chap – and he would speak on behalf of the entire world.

All interaction with the OWG (Our World Government) would be through the internet.

Any person could nominate an issue to vote on.

Issues would be passed or rejected by global voluntary vote. Those that were interested would vote, those that weren’t, wouldn’t.

Think of it as Government by Ebay. If you like it – bid. If you don’t like the motion… vote no and keep looking.

All those in favour of file sharing ----- tick here.
All those in favour of putting file sharers in jail ------ tick here.......
All those in favour of removing all guns and ammunition out of Somalia ------- tick here.
All those in favour of sending aid and education to Somalia -------- tick here
All those in favour of providing homes for all the homeless ------ tick here (=$3.00 extra tax per wk)
All those in favour of leaving the homeless in the street ----- tick here.

The result of such an experiment would be interesting.

Cartels would disappear overnight.
Pork Barreling would disappear.
Business that depended on Government subsidies would fail unless the public recognized and approved those subsidies.

There would of course have to be one more regulation to ensure that no one country could rape and pillage its neighbours…..

What is made here – stays here – and what isn’t made here doesn’t come here (Sounds harsh but it will encourage jobs and security for all countries, not just a few).

Which of course is the old import/export Tariff regime. So possibly, the Global Government needs to be independent state governments first.